Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Too busy to read?
No worries. I've done it for you.
Professionals forget the following reality. It is not the estimate or the forecast that matters so much as the degree of confidence with the opinion.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb,
Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
.forecasting giving confidence levels is key in forecasting